Civil War in Lebanon
The situation in Lebanon is likened to a tinder box, waiting to be ignited into a conflagration which could engulf the whole Middle East and set the stage for World War III The complicated political structure in Lebanon is susceptible to unrest Being a compact nation with 17 diverse Christian and Moslem sects, agreement had been reached that the President would always be a Maronite Christian (the Maronite’s before independence were the largest sect in Lebanon) , the Premier was a Sunni Moslem, the speaker of the Parliament a Shia Moslem The trouble with this arrangement lay in its inability to be changed without bitter quarrels resulting between the parties
The Christians refused to accept reforms in the system brought about because of the misrule of Lebanon s President Early in April a ten-day cease fire was accepted by both sides In spite of the agreement, however, in the first 24 hours of the freeze, police reported 92 people killed and 85 wounded in sniping incidents Conflicts between tank units in the mountain area was also reported This latest cease fire agreement was the 24th in five months, ending temporarily one of the bloodiest passages in the country s civil war Even as negotiations were going on, fierce fighting between right-wing Christians and the combined forces of Moslems, leftists and fedayeen continued It was estimated that some 1500 were killed in the week before the cease fire, raising the death toll, since last April, to nearly 13,000
Israel’s Red Line
The larger nations of the world as well as the Middle East countries are deeply interested and concerned with developments in Lebanon They realize just how easily the civil war could provoke a cataclysmic Middle Eastern conflict
Syria, in the first of April, put increased military and political pressure on Lebanon by sending some 3,000 troops into the country, along with 7,000 fighters of the fedayeen movement in Damascus Syria’s President, Hafez Assad, in explaining the moves said that the Syrian troops had taken “a firm stand to oppose any party that insists on continuing the war.”
In the United States, Secretary of State Kissinger told Congress that “we have been walking through a mine field here . . . the Syrian military efforts are getting very close to the borderline of Israeli tolerance”. Kissinger further warned that Israel had marked out a “red line” beyond which Syrian forces could not move. A Western diplomat in Beirut agreed, “If they get close to the Israeli border, the Israelis will likely do something about it.”
What is so potentially dangerous about this internal conflict is its likelihood of spreading to its neighboring states. Israel’s fear for survival may cause her to bolt if pushed too far.
Israel’s Doomsday Weapons
For many years rumors had been circulating that Israel had succeeded in developing a nuclear capability. These speculations have now been confirmed. An official of the Central Intelligence Agency recently told a group of American space experts in Washington that the C.I.A. estimates that Israel had between 10 and 20 nuclear weapons “available for use”. Time Magazine, in its April 12th edition, reported that they had learned, “Israel possesses a nuclear arsenal of 13 atomic bombs, assembled, stored and ready to be dropped on enemy forces from specially equipped Kfir and Phantom fighters on Jericho missions.”
In the 78 hour period at the start of the 1973 October war, 13 atomic bombs were hastily assembled. At that time, the tide of conflict was turning against Israel. The Egyptians had succeeded in repulsing Israel’s first counter-attacks along the Suez Canal, inflicting heavy casualties. At the same time the Israeli forces found it necessary to retreat from the Golan Heights in the face of a massive Syrian tank assault. Time Magazine reported, “At 10 p.m. on Oct. 8, the Israeli Commander on the northern front, Major General Yitzhak Hoffi, told his superior: “I am not sure that we can hold out much longer.’ After midnight, Defense Minister Moshe Dayan solemnly warned Premier Golda Meir: ‘This is the end of the third temple.’ Mrs. Meir thereupon gave Dayan permission to activate Israel’s Doomsday weapons. As each bomb was assembled, it was rushed off to waiting air force units. Before any triggers were set, however, the battle on both fronts turned in Israel’s favor. The 13 bombs were sent to desert arsenals, where they remain today, still ready for use.”
How did Israel come into possession of a nuclear capability? In the 1950’s, Israel developed a method of putting heavy water through production of low grade uranium from phosphate in the Negev. Through a mutual agreement with France (Israel agreed to share these processes with the French government) she was allowed to study France’s nuclear program, including first hand observation of atomic tests in the Sahara. A few years later, Israel’s first nuclear reactor was supplied them by France. France also helped in the design of an Atomic Research Community in the Negev. Though a great deal of debate followed within Israel concerning the possibility of Israel’s building of a separation plant to produce fissionable material necessary for an atomic bomb, the plan went into effect secretly. After the Six-Day-War in 1967, Moshe Dayan had ordered construction on a separation plant, without the knowledge of some of key personnel in government. When Premier Levi Eshkol discovered the secret project, he had no alternative than to rubber-stamp the plant already begun.
It was Dayan’s opinion that a nuclear capability was essential to Israel’s survival. Commenting on this decision, the former Defense Minister stated, “Israel has no choice. With our manpower we cannot physically, financially or economically go on acquiring more and more tanks, and more and more planes. Before long you will have all of us maintaining and oiling the tanks.”
With this latest upgrade of Israel’s arsenal, the reality of Zechariah’s description of modern warfare becomes even more ominous. The LORD through the prophet foretells the awful fate of the latter day enemies of His people who choose to invade the land: “And this shall be the plague wherewith the LORD will smite all the people that have fought against Jerusalem: Their flesh shall consume away while they stand upon their feet, and their eyes shall consume away in their holes, and their tongues shall consume away in their mouths.” The prophet further relates Judah’s part in repulsing the enemy (V14), as the LORD’s “battle axe and weapons of war” by which He will “break in pieces the nations” (Jer. 51:20)
Whether Zechariah’s prophecy is descriptive of the ravages of nuclear conflict or not, the terrible punishments meted out to the enemies of Israel by the hand of the Lord are awesome in their prospect, and assume a literality to us, which they of former generations could never envision.