Russia, Expelled From Egypt.
To the watchers of world events, July 18th marked the end of yet another scene in the drama of the last days. The Egyptians announced the withdrawal of all Russian personnel from their land. It was 17 years ago, in 1955, that this scene began when Gamel Abdel Nasser, President of Egypt, first purchased arms from the Soviets, giving the communists their first penetration of the middle east. Since then Soviet presence there has been steadily increasing and until the latest development was approaching equality with that of the U.S.
But the unexpected expulsion of the Russians by Egyptian President Anwar Sadat has brought this growth to a sudden. if only temporary, halt. At first it had been doubted that the Egyptians could carry through their orders. But by now it appears nearly all of the 20,000 Russian advisors, technicians, engineers and military personnel will be removed. Only a few hundred technicians and civilians w ill remain.
There are several surprising things about this bold change in Russo-Egyptian affairs. It was quite well known that pressure was building in Egypt to do something about Israel. The Russians, while investing more than $5 billion in military equipment in Egypt, have consistently denied Egypt’s request for long range bombers and missiles for offensive warfare. This has made it impossible for Egypt to seriously consider going to war again with Israel. However since the Arabs non-negotiable terms for peace have been rejected by Israel, and Israel’s requests for negotiations rejected by the Arabs, there has been neither peace nor war for Egypt. It was this situation which produced Sadat’s decision.
Western powers were surprised that the order was obeyed even initially by the Russians. Egypt has just signed a 15 year pact with Russia and is heavily in debt as well. Why the Russians went through with what was obviously a diplomatic humiliation is now clear. The reasons are to be found in the carefully controlled military assistance that has been given to Egypt. Since their defeat in 1967, the Soviets have evidently become convinced the Egyptians could not maintain and operate the highly sophisticated equipment they desired. Thus if they were to again declare war upon Israel, they would again lose.
There appears to be another, perhaps greater, concern of the Russians. Another Egyptian provocation, this time with weapons requiring direct Soviet assistance to operate, would bring Russia into direct confrontation with the U.S. This is something evidently highly undesirable to them at this time. Thus limited military help has been given, to Egypt’s great frustration. In addition to this, the incompetence of the Egyptians in military matters has created considerable friction between the two. Russian officers have been cited as guilty of arrogant disrespect for the Egyptian officers, which added further pressure upon Sadat to expel them, if he could.
For the moment then, the Great Northern Power has been arrested in its attempt to gain control of the Mediterranean Area. Egypt, for the moment, seems to be partly delivered out of the hand of the “cruel lord” to whom she is ultimately to be subjected just before Christ is manifested to all nations as he executes God’s judgments upon the assembled invaders.
Russian influence in Other Areas
In other areas of the middle east the fingers of Russian influence are probing for receptive governments. At the moment her progress is slow having only a measure of success in the two Arab states of Syria and Iraq. Most other areas are either strongly anti-communist or at best very cool toward Soviet offers.
Syria is receiving military aid as well as domestic in the form of arms supplies and the construction of a large power and irrigation dam across the Euphrates river. Scheduled for completion in 1974, the dam will double the amount of land under irrigation and double the electric power supplies of the country.
In Iraq there are now communist members in the Cabinet of Baghdad. Russian plans for Iraq include boosting the oil production by 3.5 times in the next two years! It should be remembered that it is the Persian Gulf ports, at present, which are the depots for virtually all of the middle east oil supply. Russian advances in Iraq are a step closer to gaining control of these areas.
Sale Of Grain and Potatoes To Russia
Russia has made news in other quarters by its agreement with the U.S. to buy about $1 billion worth of wheat and potatoes in the next couple of years. The wheat purchase, alone worth about $750 million, represents about one fourth of the entire U.S. output for one year! The purchase has been made necessary by failure of the Soviet crops to reach their anticipated yields, and a commitment of the government to increase the protein in their citizens’ diet by 25 in the next 5 years. Although the “breadbasket” of the U.S.S.R. is several times the size of the fertile plains region in the U.S., it has less rain and less efficient farm management. Consequently it Produces less than half the output of the U.S. farms.
The steadily improving diet of the average citizen of this far northern power will no doubt what his desire for still more. The flesh is never satisfied, least of all the belly. It only requires a reversal of this improving trend to create great pressures within that could drive them forth in search of the needed commodities.
Frequently in our discussions of the prophecy of Ezekiel chapter 38, we place heavy emphasis upon the strategic importance of the Middle East, particularly Israel. This is seen as the lure that brings “Gog, of the land of Magog” against the mountains of Israel. The text, however, makes it quite plain that Gog’s thoughts are upon the spoil to be gotten from the people. We are told, in verses 10-13, that he thinks an “evil thought” and while he does come against those who dwell in “the center” of the land, perhaps a recognition of this strategic importance, his primary purpose is plunder. This does not seem to be another Hungarian takeover, it is an outright conquest like that to be expected of the Babylonians or Assyrians of a past age.
Though it is protested by -Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish, with all the young lions thereof,” it is Adonai Yahweh, “He who will be the Kings,” who defeats Gog upon the mountains of Israel and is by this act sanctified in the eyes of a previously unbelieving world.
There is not much time left in this dispensation. The night is far spent, the day is at hand. Labor now that your faith may be found genuine, and that you may find rest in the day of the overthrow of the enemies of our God and His Christ.